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Is the Risk worth the investment?

The stock market is a complex and dynamic system that can be difficult to predict in the long-term. However, there are a few general trends and considerations that can provide insight into the long-term outlook for the stock market.
One trend that has been observed in the stock market over time is that it tends to trend upward over the long-term. This is often referred to as the “equity risk premium” and is based on the idea that stocks have historically provided a higher return over time than other investments such as bonds or cash. This is due to the fact that stocks represent ownership in companies, which can grow and become more valuable over time.
Another factor that can affect the long-term outlook for the stock market is the overall state of the economy. When the economy is growing and unemployment is low, it is generally considered to be a positive indicator for the stock market. On the other hand, when the economy is in a recession and unemployment is high, it is generally considered to be a negative indicator for the stock market.
It’s also worth noting that stock market can be affected by global events, geopolitical tensions, and other external factors that can cause short-term volatility. However, the stock market has shown resilience over time, and has been able to recover from various crises and downturns.
The equity risk premium (ERP) is the difference between the expected return on a stock market index and the risk-free rate of return. The risk-free rate of return is typically represented by the interest rate on a government bond, such as a US Treasury bond. The ERP represents the additional return that investors expect to earn on stocks over and above the risk-free rate of return.
The ERP is important because it helps investors to understand the trade-off between risk and return. Stocks are considered to be riskier investments than bonds or cash, and the ERP represents the additional return that investors expect to earn for taking on that additional risk.

Historically, the ERP for the US stock market has been around 4-5% per year. This means that over the long-term, investors have been able to earn an additional 4-5% per year on stocks over and above the risk-free rate of return. However, it’s worth noting that the ERP can vary over time and is not guaranteed in the future.
The ERP is also used by analysts and investors to determine whether the stock market is undervalued or overvalued. If the current ERP is lower than the historical average, it may indicate that the stock market is undervalued and that stocks are relatively cheap. Conversely, if the current ERP is higher than the historical average, it may indicate that the stock market is overvalued and that stocks are relatively expensive.
In conclusion, the stock market can be a volatile and unpredictable in the short-term, but over the long-term it tends to trend upward. It’s important to have a well-diversified portfolio and be prepared for some level of volatility, but also to remember that investing in the stock market is a long-term strategy and should not be based on short-term fluctuations.
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Prescribed burns at Ha Ha Tonka State Park, Camdenton Missouri Lake of the Ozarks

CAMDENTON, MO – On Saturday, March 8, 2025, the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, in collaboration with the National Park Service, carried out a series of prescribed burns at Ha Ha Tonka State Park. The controlled fires, initiated early this morning, aimed to reduce wildfire risks, promote native plant growth, and maintain the park’s ecological balance.
The timing of the burns aligns with early spring conditions, which park ecologists say are ideal for minimizing impact on wildlife while maximizing ecological benefits.
Today’s burns mark the first major fire management activity at Ha Ha Tonka in 2025, with additional burns potentially scheduled later this year depending on weather and resource availability. Park officials emphasized that these efforts are part of a broader commitment to preserving Missouri’s natural heritage for future generations.


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Trumps Address to the Joint Session of Congress sends Mr. Green being thrown out with in minutes.

Trumps Address to the Joint Session of Congress sends Mr. Al Green Green being thrown out with in minutes. Trump calls out Democrats saying no matter what he says or does they will not stand. The camera flashed shots of the Democrat party with signs that said Musk Steals. Trump continued the speech strong by asking them to enjoy the republicans with the wins of the county.
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Osage Beach Operating Budget shows Significant Increases in Personnel and Capital Spending.

The City of Osage Beach Board of Aldermen officially adopted the FY2025 Operating Budget on December 19, 2024, outlining a comprehensive financial plan for the upcoming fiscal year. The budget, spanning 69 pages, projects total expenditures across all funds at approximately $38 million, reflecting a strategic focus on personnel growth, infrastructure improvements, and operational stability.
Personnel Expenditures See Major Boost
The FY2025 budget allocates $10,941,704 for personnel expenditures across all funds, marking a 12.4% increase from the FY2024 budget of $9,736,098 and a 21.2% jump from the FY2024 projected year-end total of $9,031,206. Key highlights include:
- Salaries: Rising to $6,978,788, a 12.2% increase from FY2024’s budget and an 18.8% increase from the projected year-end, reflecting new hires and wage adjustments.
- Per Meeting Expense: Surging 55.8% to $48,000, driven by increased meeting frequency or compensation rates.
- Overtime and Holiday Pay: Overtime is budgeted at $417,400 (up 40.1%), while holiday pay rises to $212,402 (up 22.9%), indicating heightened staffing demands.
- Retirement 401 Contributions: A significant 28.2% increase to $773,225, underscoring the city’s commitment to employee benefits.
The personnel schedule details a total of 136 authorized positions, including 117 full-time and 19 part-time roles, with notable growth in departments like City Clerk (from 1.5 to 3 full-time equivalents) and Engineering (from 2 to 4 FTEs) compared to FY2024.
Capital Investments Prioritize Infrastructure
Capital expenditures for FY2025 are set at $16,990,032, a slight 5.1% decrease from FY2024’s ambitious $17,907,575 budget, though a dramatic 197.3% increase over the FY2024 projected year-end of $5,714,260. Major investments include:
- Transportation Fund: $6,274,726, a 17.3% increase, funding projects like the Salt Barn Roof replacement, Highway 42 Sidewalk construction, and Osage Beach Road improvements.
- Lee C. Fine Airport Fund: $4,986,982, up slightly from FY2024, supporting ongoing airport enhancements.
- 911 Center: A standout $447,247 allocation (384.8% increase), including an AIS P25 Upgrade and dispatch relocation, addressing critical communication needs.

Conversely, departments like Parks & Recreation ($333,800, down 54.7%) and Information Technology ($25,492, down 77.3%) see reduced capital spending, reflecting a shift in priorities.
Operations & Maintenance Stabilizes
Operations and Maintenance (O&M) expenditures total $10,182,427, a modest 1.4% decrease from FY2024’s $10,324,068 budget, though up 10.6% from the projected year-end of $9,209,616. Notable changes include:
- Human Resources: A striking 228.9% increase to $365,117, likely tied to expanded staffing and training initiatives.
- Building Inspection: Up 130.7% to $79,510, supporting heightened regulatory activity.
- Engineering: A 52.2% cut to $261,100, aligning with completed projects from FY2024.
Employee Pay Plan Adjustments
The budget introduces an updated Employee Pay Plan effective January 1, 2025, with pay ranges spanning Level 6 ($32,604-$47,276) to Level 16 ($124,293-$198,868). Positions like City Administrator and City Attorney top the scale, while roles such as Airport Technician and Records Clerk anchor the lower end. The plan reflects periodic reviews mandated by City Code Section 125.050, accommodating new positions and level adjustments.
Looking Ahead
The FY2025 budget underscores Osage Beach’s focus on workforce expansion, infrastructure resilience, and essential services, balancing growth with fiscal prudence. With a total personnel authorization of 123.19 FTEs (up from 117.19 in FY2024), and significant capital commitments, the city aims to enhance public safety, transportation, and community amenities. Residents can expect increased activity in key departments, though some operational budgets tighten to offset these investments.
For more details, the full FY2025 Operating Budget is available through the City of Osage Beach administrative offices.
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